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It was a volatile but largely quiet week for the markets. Over the past five sessions, the markets were able to defend their opening lows and were trading flat until the last trading day of the week. The negative closing of the last trading day saw the markets ending in the negative on a weekly note. The trading range was narrower; the NIFTY...
In this episode of StockCharts TV's The MEM Edge...
One of the best questions I got asked this week was "How can you be long gold and long semiconductors at the same time?" And I have a simple answer for that.We love to take a position based on the macro, which is why gold has been so compelling. Nonetheless,...
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV's StockCharts in Focus...
2022 was a challenging year for investors, and, so far, the stock market in 2023 has had its fair share of challenges. The fallout of some banks came as a surprise to many investors; how can retail traders improve their trading results in 2023 in light of such unexpected events? That's a question on every investor's...
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) makes for an interesting, but imperfect, leading indicator for the movements of stock prices. I don't know exactly why this works, and why it occasionally stops working, but the relationship has been going on for years and so, at some point, one just stops asking why.In this...
When I look across the European banking sector, the charts are disturbingly weak. After Jay Powell's presser, one of the things he mentioned was they had six banks they were watching. He did not mention if they were US based or international. European financialsWhen I look through the ETF, EUFN, the chart is marginally damaged but nothing that severe. The chart is...
The SPY is down twice now after the FOMC, where Powell continued to hike rates with another 25BPS. Despite that, there are still many sectors and tickers that are bullish. Of course this can change and we need to always be on guard for...
Racing ahead of the semiconductor pack, Nvidia (NVDA) appears to be edging toward the upper regions of a parabolic curve. What Does This Mean for NVDA Stock Price?It's a sign of confidence coming off a strong Q4 2022 earnings performance on top and bottom lines. NVDA surprised Wall Street, beating...
Small-caps are leading the way lower and breadth indicators are showing some serious deterioration under the surface. Large-caps are holding up for now, but keep in mind that weakness in small-caps foreshadowed the January 2022 peak in SPY. Today's article will compare price charts for SPY and IWM, and then look at the bearish signal in the Composite Breadth Model.Small-caps are leading...
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains how to use the higher timeframe to help confirm a 1-2-3 change in trend on the lower timeframe. In many cases, the cross of key MA lines...
With the recent crash of the Regional Banking ETF (KRE) some may wonder if there were adequate technical warnings ahead of the crash. Yes, there were. To clarify, we're looking for reasons not to be long this ETF.(1) To begin, last April the KRE 50EMA crossed down through the 200EMA (a Death Cross), giving an LT Trend Model SELL Signal. We view...
The Fed raised rates by 25 bps. The decision was unanimous. The terminal rate projection is unchanged at 5.1%.The FOMC statement modifies guidance: "The committee anticipates that some additional policy firming may be appropriate."My first tweet @marketminute this morning before...
All trades, no matter how well thought out, have the potential to end in a loss. Therefore, we must manage our expectations and be willing to accept risk and fear as part of the trading process. In this week's edition of ...
SPX Monitoring Purposes: Long SPX on 2/6/23 at 4110.98.Monitoring Purposes GOLD: Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78. Long Term SPX Monitor Purposes: Neutral.The market is a little messy, but I'll do my best to...
The end is at hand. Bears, just surrender now. Since the mid-June low (where I called the S&P 500 bottom), we've seen the fed funds rate jump from 1.00% to 4.75%. Of course, all we've heard since then is what?Don't Fight The FedWell, since that first 75 basis point hike on June 16th, the S&P 500 is UP, not down. We've...
The market buzz can be quite contagious."Market didn't collapse on the bank news-must be bullish.""Yellen will save the day buy making sure depositors are safe."Yellen herself: "We have an economy that is performing very well."And of course, we all know that tomorrow is the...
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I talk you through my assessment of what's going on in terms of sector...
In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Halftime, Pete discusses the noise that's been driving the markets, starting...
On this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens the trading room discussing why DecisionPoint.com uses ETFs for signal changes versus actual Index readings. He also explains how the Price...
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